Talk:Route 12/@comment-98.144.110.95-20120130132513/@comment-94.159.184.0-20120521173934

Your math is completley wrong, you dont calculate probability like that, you have to use the bernoly fomula. The chance is actually around 8.61%, and you have more than 50% on finding one only at 8 tries, when 80% is only achieved by 18 tries, and 90% at 26 tries. Get your math right!