Talk:Shiny Pokémon/@comment-75.132.224.48-20110603023253/@comment-4049527-20110608181320

Actually, for instance on route 3, if you were trying to catch lets say a pidgey, it is a 0.1% chance that any pidgey is a shiney, and 25% approximately of the pokemon in that level are pidgeys. If you times them together ( 0.25 of the pokemon are pidgeys, 0.001 chance that pidgey will be a shiney) Equals 0.00025 out of every one pokemon to be a shiney pidgey, which means that the probability that a pokemon will be a shiney pidgey on route 3 to be 0.025%, which means that if you want a 100% chance, it would take (100% divide 0.025%) 4000 times playing that level to get a shiney pidgey, or 120000 rounds. Now, if you did that for every pokemon on route 3 and add them all together, the chance of getting a shiney on route 3 is 0.25%, or every 400th time playing the level to get a SINGLE shiney. Trust me, i spent the first 2 years of my college experience as a mathematics and statistics major....